Team GB have been tipped to win 52 medals at Tokyo 2020 and finish fifth in the medal table down from second at Rio 2016.
A virtual medal table released by sports data company Gracenote forecasts that Great Britain will claim 14 golds, 23 silvers and 15 bronzes.
If that proves to be correct, Team GB’s medal haul will be 15 short of the 67 they won in Brazil five years ago, which included 27 golds, 23 silvers and 17 bronzes.
However, it will be within the target range of 45 to 70 medals set by UK Sport, who fund British Olympic sport, and will mean Team GB finish in the top five of the medal table for the fourth consecutive Games after coming fourth in Beijing 2008 and third at London 2012.
The USA top the virtual medal table with 96 ahead of the Russian Olympic Committee the banner clean Russian athletes will compete under with 68. China are predicted to finish third with 66 gongs and then hosts Japan in fourth with 60.
According to Gracenote, Team GB will defend six of the gold medals they won at Rio 2016 – swimmer Adam Peaty, taekwondo star Jade Jones, gymnast Max Whitlock, canoe sprinter Liam Heath, diver Jack Laugher – with new partner Dan Goodfellow – and the men’s rowing four.
New gold medals will come from boxer Lauren Price, shooters Amber Hill and Seonaid McIntosh, equestrian’s Laura Collett and Ben Maher, Anna Burnett and John Gimson in sailing and two relays – the men’s 4x100m in athletics and swimming’s men’s 4x100m.
Of Britain’s big names, Dina Asher-Smith is predicted to win silver in the 200m but miss out on a medal in the 100m, Jason and Laura Kenny are only tipped to win one silver each and diver Tom Daley is estimated to take home an individual silver and bronze with partner Matty Lee. Sky Brown, the 13-year-old skateboarder, is not forecasted to finish on the podium.
Gracenote said: ‘The reduction in medals for Britain is partially due to lower expectations in cycling, gymnastics and rowing amongst other competitions.
Gracenote first predicted at London 2012 that Team GB would win 67 medals — just two off their actual haul of 65. At Rio 2016, they underestimated Britain’s success, tipping only 51 medals when they went on to win 67.